Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 25.585354 29.102795 32.949801 37.473152 42.650999 48.398570 55.270230
2025-01-05 20.129245 24.835842 30.434124 37.599747 46.551681 57.397068 71.580620
2025-01-12 16.106917 21.205238 27.690991 36.581061 48.504895 64.022210 85.874027
2025-01-19 13.498106 18.754152 25.825258 36.090099 50.706783 70.917023 101.231528
2025-01-26 12.112038 17.638685 25.446897 37.368778 55.267245 81.384217 122.831709
2025-02-02 11.161654 16.950153 25.493707 39.142831 60.634709 93.560841 148.565830
2025-02-09 10.094052 15.911220 24.838320 39.690642 64.100793 103.178768 171.570616
2025-02-16 8.923765 14.544183 23.476303 38.890033 65.223072 109.094574 189.201211
2025-02-23 7.972900 13.401769 22.313355 38.222675 66.401182 115.130878 207.721599
2025-03-02 7.195713 12.449199 21.338095 37.720743 67.740422 121.514688 227.619974
2025-03-09 6.607094 11.748127 20.700961 37.710774 69.909386 129.568618 251.642258
2025-03-16 6.086279 11.105424 20.087292 37.651338 71.942501 137.558604 276.571038
2025-03-23 5.796754 10.870309 20.215271 39.057670 77.075758 152.369945 317.944107
2025-03-30 5.389708 10.371300 19.800606 39.373400 80.120999 163.512792 353.553995
2025-04-06 4.874167 9.605105 18.788290 38.369631 80.336562 168.886258 377.515978
2025-04-13 4.475422 9.024618 18.072959 37.877010 81.538294 176.448415 407.474287
2025-04-20 4.303227 8.884328 18.226839 39.231019 86.907475 193.785509 462.887435
2025-04-27 4.190064 8.853312 18.600168 41.101276 93.668458 215.161231 531.519237
2025-05-04 3.970604 8.570877 18.407256 41.679095 97.521695 230.304623 587.093454
2025-05-11 3.656431 8.048320 17.636448 40.836904 97.893905 237.160645 622.383738
2025-05-18 3.383237 7.589438 16.959607 40.134695 98.513164 244.697862 660.722618
2025-05-25 3.147752 7.192813 16.383433 39.606505 99.497242 253.283898 703.373024
2025-06-01 2.967595 6.906820 16.034357 39.596034 101.804506 265.612709 758.708189